As we move through the primaries elections to the November 2020 general election, we are seeing a major shift in minority group voting numbers. There are now an estimated 32 million Hispanics that will be eligible to vote. This is the largest minority voting group of all time! And political campaigns targeting Hispanic voters are getting powerful results in a surprising place—traditional media.
Hispanic Voters by the Numbers
- 32 Million Hispanics projected to be eligible to vote in 2020 becoming the largest Minority voting group in the history of American politics
- It would be an increase of 5 million from the 2016 Election (27.3 million)
- Hispanics will be the largest Minority group in the electorate, representing 13.3% of all eligible voters
Source: US Census projections 2018
Greg Anthony is the Head of Multicultural marketing at Refuel Agency, the largest provider of Media + Marketing services targeting niche audiences. He commented on Hispanic voters, saying, “We’ve been advising political ad agencies on how to reach minority audiences for over 30 years.”
Anthony works with hundreds of Hispanic newspapers, from planning, buying, materials, billing and proof of purchase. In doing so, he has witnessed the positive impact of this medium. “We know that the older, more educated demographic are more likely to vote and they can often be more effectively reached by focusing on offline media such as Spanish language newspapers.”
Hispanic Voters Party Alliance
Hispanic Democrats are expected to have a greater impact on their party’s presidential nomination process. Because of the changes to the primary calendar, this year will have greater impact than in 2016. California, where about 26% of all Hispanic voters in the U.S. live in the US, moved up its primary to Super Tuesday on March 3, three months earlier than in 2016. Three other states with smaller but potentially important Hispanic eligible voter populations moved up their primaries to Super Tuesday: North Carolina, Utah and Maine.
Overall, an estimated 56% of Latino eligible voters live in states that have a Democratic primary or caucus on or before Super Tuesday this year. This is up from 29% in 2016, according to an analysis of 2018 and 2016 American Community Survey data.
Hispanic Voters Insights
- 62% of Hispanic registered voters lean towards the Democratic party
- 9 in 10 of Hispanic Democratic voters feel that the 2020 presidential election results very important
- Majority have a positive impression of the Democratic candidates with 65% rating them as “Good” or Excellent”
Source: National Survey of Latinos Dec 3-23, 2019
The Bottom Line
Minority voters and Hispanic voters are an important part of the political landscape. The Hispanic vote can help sway both local and national campaigns. And when reaching this audience, it’s important to understand their preferences and motivations.